Analyst: Be Aware Of This Trump Risk As XRP Drifts On 200-Week Line
dailycoin
04-05 00:00

Author:dailycoin

A prominent crypto analyst is sounding the alarm over what he calls an “insane timeshifting business” in markets, arguing that geopolitical shocks engineered over long weekends are wrecking retail investors while insiders quietly position for profit.

In a recent video, Levi Rietveld links escalating U.S.–Iran tensions, potential Monday-morning Trump announcements, and a deepening XRP drawdown into a single thesis: the next few months could deliver both maximum pain and maximum opportunity.

Easter Weekend War Talk, Monday Market Shock Coming Up Next?

The analyst centers his argument on a Trump “48-hour warning” tweet timed to expire just after a three-day market closure, noting that the key moment fell “35 minutes after the stock market reopens” on Monday, April 6.

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In Levi’s view, that timing gives retail traders two days to “panic” while well-connected players prepare trades based on likely outcomes.

Levi outlines two broad scenarios: Trump escalating to direct strikes on Iran, or issuing yet another extension that lets insiders profit from the retail whipsaw. Either way, he says, “bulls get trapped, bears get trapped,” while those close to the administration benefit from asymmetric information.

During this same window, he notes, U.S.–Israeli airstrikes are already “destroying bridges in Iran,” and he speculates that any further escalation could target “power plants” and other “critical infrastructure that keeps people alive.”

XRP Slides Closer Towards The “Número Uno Market Dip Buy Signal”

Against that backdrop, the analyst points to a sharp retrace in digital assets. He claims total crypto market cap has fallen from over $4.3 trillion in October 2025 to $2.3 trillion by April, describing it as “pretty much 50%” wiped out in months. Bitcoin’s prior highs, he notes, have given way to broad risk-off behavior.

Levi’s focus, however, is XRP.

On the weekly chart, he highlights a failed breakout above $2.42 in early 2026 and a slide from a $1.87 low back above $2 before the trend turned. XRP now trades around $1.31, he says, sitting below the 100-week simple moving average and nearing the 200-week SMA at roughly $1.14 — which he repeatedly calls “the number 1 bear market buy signal.”

In the previous cycle, buying XRP near its 200-week line meant accumulating at around $0.30, a level that ultimately marked the bear-market floor, he argues.

On the daily chart, he draws parallels with the 2021–2022 structure: a peak, a steep sell-off, a second “double top”-style rally attempt, then a long grind lower.

By his historical read, the market may be “just a few months away” from finding a new bottom driven by inflation, geopolitics, and potential rate hikes — with any recovery in 2027 after rate declines and easing tensions.

The analyst says he is “heavily invested,” claims to be deploying “billions of dollars” into crypto, and expects most retail participants to capitulate before that bottom arrives.

While he frames it as the period when “millionaires are made,” the more immediate takeaway for investors is less inspirational: geopolitical theatre, timed announcements, and structural information gaps may matter as much as charts when positioning for the next phase of the cycle.

In the meantime, Levi Rietveld describes sitting largely in stablecoins, parking funds on a yield platform called Coin Depot, which he says has operated since 2021 and advertises up to 23% APY on assets including Bitcoin, Ethereum, USDT, USDC, XRP, and XLM.

Finally, he presents this as a way to “earn interest” while waiting for what he expects to be a 200-week-SMA flush in XRP sometime in 2026.

Explore DailyCoin’s hottest crypto news today:

Bitcoin’s Weekend Gap: ETFs Shift Liquidity to U.S. Hours
Algorand Jumps High Amid Revolut Deal & Google Paper

People Also Ask:

What price level is the analyst watching on XRP?

He is watching the 200-week simple moving average around $1.14, which he views as the key bear-market accumulation zone.

How much has the analyst claimed the crypto market cap has fallen?

He says total crypto market cap dropped from over $4.3 trillion in October 2025 to about $2.3 trillion in April, roughly a 50% drawdown.

What macro events does he think could set the bottom?

He cites inflation, further geopolitical escalation involving Iran, and possible interest rate hikes as drivers of a final capitulation phase.

How is he positioned while waiting for a bottom?

According to Levi Rietveld, he holds significant stablecoin balances and allocates them to a yield-generating platform offering returns on major crypto assets.

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