Goldman Sachs Lowers Copper Forecast On Soft Demand
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17h ago
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Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE: <a href='/latestarticles?tag=GS'>$GS</a> <a data-toggle='modal' data-target='#chart_modal_43467' class='fa-sharp fa-light fa-chart-simple'></a>) has lowered its 2026 copper price forecast due to softer demand expectations amid weaker global economic growth.
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Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE: $GS ) has lowered its 2026 copper price forecast due to softer demand expectations amid weaker global economic growth.

Goldman Sachs now expects coper's price to average $12,650 U.S. per tonne in the months ahead, down from $12,850 U.S. previously.

Despite near-term weakness, Goldman remains bullish on the long-term outlook for the red industrial metal due to electrification and its use in artificial intelligence (A.I.) data centres.

The investment bank now expects the global copper market to run a surplus of 490,000 tonnes this year, up from its previous estimate of 380,000 tonnes.

The surplus and lower price are due to Goldman Sachs' projecting a 0.4 percentage point hit to global economic growth from the energy price shock stemming from the Iran war.

However, Goldman Sachs expects copper's price to find support and quickly recover if conditions and the global economy stabilize.

As such, Goldman Sachs kept its long-term forecast for coper intact, projecting that its price will rise to $15,000 U.S. by 2035.

GS stock has risen 84% in the last 12 months to trade at $855.90 U.S. per share.

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Goldman Sachs lowered its 2026 copper price target, citing a widening surplus.
Goldman Sachs' latest report lowered its 2026 average copper price forecast to $12,650 per tonne and raised its global copper market surplus estimate from 380,000 tons to 490,000 tons. Energy price shocks have dragged down global GDP growth by approximately 0.4 percentage points, consequently reducing refined copper demand growth from 2.0% to 1.6%. Current copper prices are well above fair value, posing significant downside risks; however, Goldman Sachs maintains its long-term forecast of copper prices reaching $15,000 by 2035, with electrification remaining a core supporting factor.
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