Gemini is integrating AI tools into its prediction market business to further reduce its reliance on spot trading revenue. The exchange recently launched a feature called Command Center, which provides users with personalized market information feeds covering topics such as crypto assets, sports, commodities, politics, economics, and culture.
Information flow generated based on holdings
This feature combines a user's open positions, watchlist, and past predictive trading records to filter more relevant market content. Gemini states that the tool integrates Grok and SpaceXAI models to generate real-time market summaries, sentiment assessments, and personalized signals, aiming to reduce the time users spend searching for information on news and social media platforms.
This is a continuation of Gemini's recent efforts to incorporate AI into its trading products. Previously, the platform launched an agentic trading feature, allowing users to connect models such as ChatGPT and Claude to their Gemini accounts to assist in trading operations.
First-quarter revenue was $400,000.
In terms of revenue structure, the prediction market is still in its early stages. Gemini stated that the business generated $400,000 in revenue in the first quarter of this year, with approximately 20,000 users. Compared to larger platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, this scale remains limited.
However, Gemini's overall business still achieved growth in the quarter. Total revenue increased by 42% year-over-year to $50.3 million. Previous reports indicated that Gemini's exchange revenue had declined by 27% year-over-year due to decreased trading volume, prompting the company to continue expanding into new business lines such as credit cards, services, derivatives, and prediction markets.
New York litigation and CFTC progress
As Gemini expands its prediction market business, its products continue to face regulatory scrutiny. In April, New York State sued Gemini Titan and Coinbase Financial Markets, alleging that their event trading market violated state gambling rules.
At the federal level, Gemini has obtained more market infrastructure licenses this year. Its affiliate, Olympus, received a clearing license from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in April; prior to that, Gemini Titan had already obtained a CFTC market license in December 2025.
In addition, the CFTC has also asked the court to dismiss a $5 million enforcement settlement by Gemini in another case. The agency stated that, under current standards, this 2022 case would not have been brought at the time.
Gemini's launch of this new tool demonstrates that the exchange is combining AI with prediction markets in an attempt to find new sources of growth beyond basic crypto trading.
