Jupiter launches Forecast, expanding Solana's native prediction market.
SolanaFloor
1h ago
Ai Focus
Jupiter has launched Forecast, attempting to improve the liquidity of Solana's native prediction market with a prop AMM. The first batch will be a 15-minute crypto price market.
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Jupiter's prediction market product, Jupiter Predict, has received its biggest update since its launch, introducing a new module, Forecast, natively built on Solana. This product aims to bring the liquidity and execution methods of prop AMMs to prediction markets, alleviating the long-standing liquidity fragmentation problem in this type of product.

The first batch of short-cycle price markets were launched.

According to Jupiter, Forecast will initially launch a 15-minute crypto price market, and will gradually expand to more types of prediction contracts. Jupiter co-founder Siong Ong stated that the protocol is technically capable of creating almost any market, provided that market makers believe there is sufficient demand.

Traditional prediction markets typically allocate a separate liquidity pool for each contract, resulting in thin liquidity for less popular events and making slippage more likely. Forecast's approach is to allow traders to buy market share directly from multiple competing market makers, rather than relying on a single pool.

The market may support tokenization

Jupiter has not yet released full design details, but has hinted that individual markets may be tokenized for composability and circulation within the broader DeFi ecosystem. This implies that related positions may have greater composability in the future, but the specific implementation method remains undisclosed.

Monthly transaction volume hits new high for the third consecutive month.

As this update is released, Jupiter Predict's trading data is also on the rise. Launched in October 2025, the product has seen monthly trading volume reach record highs for three consecutive months since the second quarter of 2026.

The report also mentioned that other teams within the Solana ecosystem are preparing to launch native prediction market products. With more protocols entering this arena, Solana is accelerating its participation in the prediction market competition dominated by Polymarket and Kalshi.

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