BTC
BTC
$66,849.77
-0.53%
涨跌箭头
ETH
ETH
$2,037.98
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涨跌箭头
USDT
USDT
$0.9997
-0.02%
涨跌箭头
BNB
BNB
$589.19
-0.16%
涨跌箭头
XRP
XRP
$1.29
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USDC
USDC
$1.00
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
SOL
SOL
$79.25
-1.01%
涨跌箭头
TRX
TRX
$0.319
+0.57%
涨跌箭头
WTRX
WTRX
$0.319
+0.78%
涨跌箭头
stETH
stETH
$2,036.43
-0.75%
涨跌箭头
DOGE
DOGE
$0.09023
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涨跌箭头
USDS
USDS
$0.9998
-0.01%
涨跌箭头
WSTETH
WSTETH
$2,506.06
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涨跌箭头
HYPE
HYPE
$35.44
-0.76%
涨跌箭头
ADA
ADA
$0.2419
-1.06%
涨跌箭头
BCH
BCH
$424.70
-4.28%
涨跌箭头
WBTC
WBTC
$66,752.12
-0.49%
涨跌箭头
WBETH
WBETH
$2,227.82
-0.71%
涨跌箭头
WETH
WETH
$2,034.76
-0.84%
涨跌箭头
LINK
LINK
$8.54
-1.16%
涨跌箭头
AETHWETH
AETHWETH
$2,057.54
+1.25%
涨跌箭头
XMR
XMR
$330.59
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涨跌箭头
USDe
USDe
$0.9995
-0.01%
涨跌箭头
CBBTC
CBBTC
$66,815.49
-0.51%
涨跌箭头
weETH
weETH
$2,220.38
-0.93%
涨跌箭头
DAI
DAI
$0.9998
-0.01%
涨跌箭头
CC
CC
$0.14
+0.10%
涨跌箭头
XLM
XLM
$0.1578
-2.53%
涨跌箭头
AETHUSDT
AETHUSDT
$0.9999
+0.00%
涨跌箭头
USD1
USD1
$1
-0.05%
涨跌箭头
BTCB
BTCB
$66,860.86
-0.51%
涨跌箭头
LTC
LTC
$52.90
-0.94%
涨跌箭头
ZEC
ZEC
$238.63
-3.30%
涨跌箭头
PYUSD
PYUSD
$1.00
+0.00%
涨跌箭头
AVAX
AVAX
$8.82
-0.56%
涨跌箭头
HBAR
HBAR
$0.08657
-0.57%
涨跌箭头
sUSDe
sUSDe
$1.23
-0.00%
涨跌箭头
SHIB
SHIB
$0.0{5}584
-0.68%
涨跌箭头
SUI
SUI
$0.8459
-2.38%
涨跌箭头
M
M
$2.51
-5.28%
涨跌箭头
TAO
TAO
$297.20
-2.84%
涨跌箭头
RAIN
RAIN
$0.006571
-10.84%
涨跌箭头
TON
TON
$1.25
+1.13%
涨跌箭头
WLFI
WLFI
$0.0977
-1.01%
涨跌箭头
CRO
CRO
$0.06904
-1.51%
涨跌箭头
XAUT
XAUT
$4,620.10
-0.54%
涨跌箭头
PAXG
PAXG
$4,634.35
-0.46%
涨跌箭头
MNT
MNT
$0.6534
-2.65%
涨跌箭头
DOT
DOT
$1.22
-2.08%
涨跌箭头
UNI
UNI
$3.09
-1.34%
涨跌箭头
USDG
USDG
$1.00
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
OKB
OKB
$82.07
-0.98%
涨跌箭头
PI
PI
$0.1696
-1.51%
涨跌箭头
SKY
SKY
$0.07389
-0.81%
涨跌箭头
ASTER
ASTER
$0.666
+0.15%
涨跌箭头
USDf
USDf
$0.9976
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
NEAR
NEAR
$1.25
+0.16%
涨跌箭头
HTX
HTX
$0.0{5}1729
+0.38%
涨跌箭头
syrupUSDC
syrupUSDC
$1.16
+0.02%
涨跌箭头
USDD
USDD
$0.9995
-0.04%
涨跌箭头
BFUSD
BFUSD
$0.9995
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
AAVE
AAVE
$90.74
-4.01%
涨跌箭头
PEPE
PEPE
$0.0{5}332
-1.48%
涨跌箭头
RLUSD
RLUSD
$1.00
-0.02%
涨跌箭头
ETC
ETC
$8.45
+0.96%
涨跌箭头
USDY
USDY
$1.12
-0.03%
涨跌箭头
BGB
BGB
$1.85
-3.70%
涨跌箭头
RSETH
RSETH
$2,179.08
-0.66%
涨跌箭头
ICP
ICP
$2.26
-1.53%
涨跌箭头
ONDO
ONDO
$0.2486
-2.97%
涨跌箭头
USDCE
USDCE
$0.9993
-0.03%
涨跌箭头
BTCT
BTCT
$67,121.91
+0.46%
涨跌箭头
KCS
KCS
$7.93
-1.66%
涨跌箭头
ALGO
ALGO
$0.1187
-4.04%
涨跌箭头
U
U
$1
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
POL
POL
$0.0902
-2.59%
涨跌箭头
BBTC
BBTC
$66,549.55
-1.16%
涨跌箭头
RNDR
RNDR
$1.84
-3.46%
涨跌箭头
WBNB
WBNB
$589.20
-0.15%
涨跌箭头
QNT
QNT
$74.16
+1.37%
涨跌箭头
JLP
JLP
$3.61
-2.03%
涨跌箭头
JITOSOL
JITOSOL
$100.82
-0.78%
涨跌箭头
USDTb
USDTb
$0.9994
-0.02%
涨跌箭头
ATOM
ATOM
$1.68
-1.06%
涨跌箭头
KAS
KAS
$0.03057
-3.93%
涨跌箭头
RETH
RETH
$2,363.08
-0.83%
涨跌箭头
WLD
WLD
$0.2465
-5.74%
涨跌箭头
LBTC
LBTC
$67,133.62
-0.15%
涨跌箭头
BNSOL
BNSOL
$87.50
-1.02%
涨跌箭头
DEXE
DEXE
$9.02
+1.83%
涨跌箭头
GT
GT
$6.44
-0.04%
涨跌箭头
FBTC
FBTC
$66,511.87
-0.52%
涨跌箭头
ENA
ENA
$0.077
-4.47%
涨跌箭头
KHYPE
KHYPE
$35.98
-0.50%
涨跌箭头
NIGHT
NIGHT
$0.04064
-4.12%
涨跌箭头
APT
APT
$0.836
-1.07%
涨跌箭头
TRUMP
TRUMP
$2.83
-0.70%
涨跌箭头
VET
VET
$0.007427
+0.68%
涨跌箭头
WFLR
WFLR
$0.007419
-1.47%
涨跌箭头
FLR
FLR
$0.007403
-1.79%
涨跌箭头
BTC
BTC
$66,849.77
-0.53%
涨跌箭头
ETH
ETH
$2,037.98
-0.72%
涨跌箭头
USDT
USDT
$0.9997
-0.02%
涨跌箭头
BNB
BNB
$589.19
-0.16%
涨跌箭头
XRP
XRP
$1.29
-1.80%
涨跌箭头
USDC
USDC
$1.00
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
SOL
SOL
$79.25
-1.01%
涨跌箭头
TRX
TRX
$0.319
+0.57%
涨跌箭头
WTRX
WTRX
$0.319
+0.78%
涨跌箭头
stETH
stETH
$2,036.43
-0.75%
涨跌箭头
DOGE
DOGE
$0.09023
-0.88%
涨跌箭头
USDS
USDS
$0.9998
-0.01%
涨跌箭头
WSTETH
WSTETH
$2,506.06
-0.75%
涨跌箭头
HYPE
HYPE
$35.44
-0.76%
涨跌箭头
ADA
ADA
$0.2419
-1.06%
涨跌箭头
BCH
BCH
$424.70
-4.28%
涨跌箭头
WBTC
WBTC
$66,752.12
-0.49%
涨跌箭头
WBETH
WBETH
$2,227.82
-0.71%
涨跌箭头
WETH
WETH
$2,034.76
-0.84%
涨跌箭头
LINK
LINK
$8.54
-1.16%
涨跌箭头
AETHWETH
AETHWETH
$2,057.54
+1.25%
涨跌箭头
XMR
XMR
$330.59
+4.43%
涨跌箭头
USDe
USDe
$0.9995
-0.01%
涨跌箭头
CBBTC
CBBTC
$66,815.49
-0.51%
涨跌箭头
weETH
weETH
$2,220.38
-0.93%
涨跌箭头
DAI
DAI
$0.9998
-0.01%
涨跌箭头
CC
CC
$0.14
+0.10%
涨跌箭头
XLM
XLM
$0.1578
-2.53%
涨跌箭头
AETHUSDT
AETHUSDT
$0.9999
+0.00%
涨跌箭头
USD1
USD1
$1
-0.05%
涨跌箭头
BTCB
BTCB
$66,860.86
-0.51%
涨跌箭头
LTC
LTC
$52.90
-0.94%
涨跌箭头
ZEC
ZEC
$238.63
-3.30%
涨跌箭头
PYUSD
PYUSD
$1.00
+0.00%
涨跌箭头
AVAX
AVAX
$8.82
-0.56%
涨跌箭头
HBAR
HBAR
$0.08657
-0.57%
涨跌箭头
sUSDe
sUSDe
$1.23
-0.00%
涨跌箭头
SHIB
SHIB
$0.0{5}584
-0.68%
涨跌箭头
SUI
SUI
$0.8459
-2.38%
涨跌箭头
M
M
$2.51
-5.28%
涨跌箭头
TAO
TAO
$297.20
-2.84%
涨跌箭头
RAIN
RAIN
$0.006571
-10.84%
涨跌箭头
TON
TON
$1.25
+1.13%
涨跌箭头
WLFI
WLFI
$0.0977
-1.01%
涨跌箭头
CRO
CRO
$0.06904
-1.51%
涨跌箭头
XAUT
XAUT
$4,620.10
-0.54%
涨跌箭头
PAXG
PAXG
$4,634.35
-0.46%
涨跌箭头
MNT
MNT
$0.6534
-2.65%
涨跌箭头
DOT
DOT
$1.22
-2.08%
涨跌箭头
UNI
UNI
$3.09
-1.34%
涨跌箭头
USDG
USDG
$1.00
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
OKB
OKB
$82.07
-0.98%
涨跌箭头
PI
PI
$0.1696
-1.51%
涨跌箭头
SKY
SKY
$0.07389
-0.81%
涨跌箭头
ASTER
ASTER
$0.666
+0.15%
涨跌箭头
USDf
USDf
$0.9976
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
NEAR
NEAR
$1.25
+0.16%
涨跌箭头
HTX
HTX
$0.0{5}1729
+0.38%
涨跌箭头
syrupUSDC
syrupUSDC
$1.16
+0.02%
涨跌箭头
USDD
USDD
$0.9995
-0.04%
涨跌箭头
BFUSD
BFUSD
$0.9995
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
AAVE
AAVE
$90.74
-4.01%
涨跌箭头
PEPE
PEPE
$0.0{5}332
-1.48%
涨跌箭头
RLUSD
RLUSD
$1.00
-0.02%
涨跌箭头
ETC
ETC
$8.45
+0.96%
涨跌箭头
USDY
USDY
$1.12
-0.03%
涨跌箭头
BGB
BGB
$1.85
-3.70%
涨跌箭头
RSETH
RSETH
$2,179.08
-0.66%
涨跌箭头
ICP
ICP
$2.26
-1.53%
涨跌箭头
ONDO
ONDO
$0.2486
-2.97%
涨跌箭头
USDCE
USDCE
$0.9993
-0.03%
涨跌箭头
BTCT
BTCT
$67,121.91
+0.46%
涨跌箭头
KCS
KCS
$7.93
-1.66%
涨跌箭头
ALGO
ALGO
$0.1187
-4.04%
涨跌箭头
U
U
$1
+0.01%
涨跌箭头
POL
POL
$0.0902
-2.59%
涨跌箭头
BBTC
BBTC
$66,549.55
-1.16%
涨跌箭头
RNDR
RNDR
$1.84
-3.46%
涨跌箭头
WBNB
WBNB
$589.20
-0.15%
涨跌箭头
QNT
QNT
$74.16
+1.37%
涨跌箭头
JLP
JLP
$3.61
-2.03%
涨跌箭头
JITOSOL
JITOSOL
$100.82
-0.78%
涨跌箭头
USDTb
USDTb
$0.9994
-0.02%
涨跌箭头
ATOM
ATOM
$1.68
-1.06%
涨跌箭头
KAS
KAS
$0.03057
-3.93%
涨跌箭头
RETH
RETH
$2,363.08
-0.83%
涨跌箭头
WLD
WLD
$0.2465
-5.74%
涨跌箭头
LBTC
LBTC
$67,133.62
-0.15%
涨跌箭头
BNSOL
BNSOL
$87.50
-1.02%
涨跌箭头
DEXE
DEXE
$9.02
+1.83%
涨跌箭头
GT
GT
$6.44
-0.04%
涨跌箭头
FBTC
FBTC
$66,511.87
-0.52%
涨跌箭头
ENA
ENA
$0.077
-4.47%
涨跌箭头
KHYPE
KHYPE
$35.98
-0.50%
涨跌箭头
NIGHT
NIGHT
$0.04064
-4.12%
涨跌箭头
APT
APT
$0.836
-1.07%
涨跌箭头
TRUMP
TRUMP
$2.83
-0.70%
涨跌箭头
VET
VET
$0.007427
+0.68%
涨跌箭头
WFLR
WFLR
$0.007419
-1.47%
涨跌箭头
FLR
FLR
$0.007403
-1.79%
涨跌箭头
Market
/DOT Price
币种icon
DOT
DOT
No.49
$1.224
-2.08%
≈$1.22
Market Cap
$2.03B
Cir. Cap
$2.03B
Cir. Supply
1.66B
Cir. Rate
100%
Total Supply
1.66B
Max Supply
0
24h Volume
$64.63M
24h Vol (BTC)
79.15M
24h Turnover
3.891221%
Market Share
0.10%
Performance
Low
1.22
Range
+0.04%
High
1.26
Listing
$2.79
ATH (2025-10-11)
$55.00
-97.77%
ATL (2021-11-04)
$1.41
+-13.22%
Official
Contract
BSC: 0x7083...873402
Official
Social
Network
Converter
Chart
Market
About
Ad
XBIT Invite: Earn points & commission
Price
Cap
K-line
Depth
1 Second
1 Minute
5 Minutes
1 Hour
4 Hours
1 Day
TradingView
1H
0%
24H
-2.08%
7D
-3.16%
30D
-16.68%
1Y
-68.81%
All
-55.62%
AI Assistant
DOT下跌原因
DOT资金流向
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Net inflow of funds in 24 hours 0
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About DOT
1. What type of cryptocurrency is Polkadot and what is its core function in the blockchain ecosystem?
Polkadot is a sharded multichain layer-0 protocol that connects and secures a network of specialized blockchains called parachains, facilitating cross-chain transfers of any data or asset types rather than just tokens. Its native token DOT serves three purposes: staking for network operations and security, facilitating on-chain governance, and bonding tokens to connect parachains to the Relay Chain.
62%
37%
Bullish
Bearish
Community
Crypto Engineers
23h ago
There's no room for the market to breathe next week. Geographically, the US-Iran confrontation is far from abating. This weekend, the US military continued searching for the missing crew of the downed F-15E fighter jet, while Tehran continued its attacks on Gulf states and Israel. Reports also indicate a second US combat aircraft crashed in the Persian Gulf. Many are beginning to view the deployment of US ground troops in Iraq as a given, rather than a hypothetical scenario. Any military developments next week will directly impact global risk assets. The macroeconomic calendar is also packed. Two key events are particularly noteworthy: At 2:00 AM on Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting. Analysts believe these minutes may confirm the hawkish shift already evident in the dot plot, potentially leading to a repricing of market expectations regarding the interest rate path. At 8:30 PM on Friday, the US March CPI data will be released. This will be the first inflation data to reflect the impact of the war. FactSet consensus forecasts indicate that the overall CPI year-on-year increase may jump from 2.4% to 3.1%—if the data falls above expectations, the Federal Reserve's policy space will be further compressed. In addition, core PCE, final GDP figures, and initial jobless claims will also be released on Thursday, and the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be worth watching on Friday. War drives sentiment, data determines direction. Every day next week could become a new variable.
301
0
0
37
MichaelTurtle 2026 Cheer Up Edition
04-04 14:23
Three individuals navigating economic cycles, of different ages and on different tracks, are all doing the same thing recently: selling assets and accumulating cash. Li Ka-shing, 97 years old: Sold his entire stake in the British power grid, held for 16 years, at the end of February, cashing out HK$110 billion. Power grids are public utilities with extremely stable cash flow; normally, no one would sell. He chose this particular time to sell. Warren Buffett, 95 years old: Starting in 2024, he will continuously reduce his Apple holdings, cutting two-thirds of his position. Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves have reached a record high of $373 billion. He appeared on CNBC and said, "I sold it too soon." But the key part is the second half: "I wouldn't buy in this market." Historically, Berkshire Hathaway's cash holdings exceeding his stock holdings have only happened five times: 1969, before Black Monday in 1987, at the peak of the dot-com bubble in 1999, before the financial crisis in 2007, and from 2024 to the present. Each time was followed by a market crash. Of course, both of the above individuals are over 90 years old; their conservative approach and missed opportunities are understandable. But Peter Thiel, 58 years old, is a co-founder of PayPal, Facebook's first outside investor, and a co-founder of Palantir, one of Silicon Valley's most radical tech investors. In Q4 2025, his fund, Thiel Macro, liquidated all its holdings in Tesla, Microsoft, and Apple, moving them to cash. In early 2026, according to SEC filings, its holdings will be worthless. If US stocks perform poorly, it will be difficult for Bitcoin to buck the trend. Of course, bottom-fishing and missing out are two sides of the same coin. Holding cash makes it easy to miss out. But this year is bound to see significant volatility. Furthermore, I think the atmosphere this year is much better than in 2021; far more people are warning of risks. (In 2021, almost everyone was going crazy.)
329
0
0
26
SOL I don't understand
04-03 21:17
Buying the Dip in US Stocks: Three Dos and Three Don'ts Buying the dip in US stocks means "buy small dips, buy big dips, and don't buy if there's no dip." When a buying opportunity arises in US stocks, you must understand two questions: 1. Under normal circumstances, how much will a US stock market correction last? 2. What if a black swan event occurs, and the decline continues indefinitely? 01. How Deep is a US Stock Market Correction? First, let's define what a "correction" is. Corrections are generally divided into three levels: daily, weekly, and monthly. A decline must meet one of two conditions: magnitude and duration (everyone's definition may differ; this article only represents my standard). Daily Level: A drop of more than 5% from the highest point, or a duration of more than two weeks (referring to the time span from the highest to the lowest point); Weekly Level: A drop of more than 10% from the highest point, or a duration of more than four weeks; Monthly Level: A drop of more than 15% from the highest point, or a duration of more than four months. Meeting either of these two conditions is sufficient. Some adjustments are not deep but take a long time, while others are the opposite. Once the definition is clear, bottom-fishing essentially has two objectives: Objective 1: Buy the position you want. Objective 2: Buy as cheaply as possible. Market trends always become clearer in hindsight. When things are unclear at the time, and a correction is underway, we can only be certain of two things—how much has it fallen from the previous high, and how many days has it been falling? It might continue to fall, consolidate, or resume its upward trend. Therefore, there is a contradiction between these two objectives. Buying too quickly may achieve Objective 1 but at a relatively high price; however, if you focus solely on buying cheaply, you might miss the opportunity and the price will rise. This requires us to have some probabilistic understanding of the magnitude of corrections in historical US stock market trends in order to set a reasonable objective. Taking the S&P 500 index as an example, in the 20 years from 2004 to the present, there have only been 7 monthly-level corrections. The reasons for these are as follows: January-October 2022: The most intense interest rate hike cycle in 40 years February-March 2020: Global public health event September-December 2018: Trade war coupled with interest rate hikes July 2015-February 2016: Central economic recession coupled with expectations of interest rate hikes April-September 2011: Deepening European debt crisis April-June 2010: European debt crisis and Goldman Sachs fraud scandal October 2007-March 2009: Subprime mortgage crisis Therefore, monthly-level corrections in the US stock market are very rare, averaging once every 3 years, each time with macroeconomic fundamentals as the reason. In fact, there were no such corrections in the 44 months from September 2011 to July 2015, making it a truly long bull market. Weekly corrections are more frequent, occurring 2-3 times a year. They don't require fundamental reasons; once a stock has risen significantly, a correction is likely. Therefore, bottom-fishing first requires determining whether the current correction is a weekly or monthly correction. However, stock price movements are influenced by various new news, making accurate prediction difficult. The Federal Reserve isn't your personal financier, and negative or positive news won't arrive according to your plan—fortunately, you can still determine your target. You need to consider this question: imagine you're haggling with a vendor. If you can only choose between "buying" and "buying cheap," what would you choose? If it's the former, then you should assume the correction is weekly and plan accordingly. This way, even if a monthly correction actually occurs, you can still achieve your first goal. Similarly, if your goal is "buying cheap," then you should prepare a bottom-fishing plan for a monthly correction in the relevant sector. However, generally speaking, I suggest prioritizing "buying" as your primary goal, especially if you have spare cash. Firstly, monthly corrections only occur once every three years, making the probability quite low. Secondly, if you have spare cash but can't buy US stocks, you're likely to invest in other high-risk products. With a goal in mind, the plan becomes much simpler. 02. Time and Position Planning The first question for bottom-fishing in US stocks: When to start the plan? Taking bottom-fishing during a weekly correction as an example, if there are no new highs for two weeks, a daily correction is already underway, and you should prepare a bottom-fishing plan for this cyclical correction. The core of bottom-fishing in US stocks is two words—phased buying. There are two types of phased buying plans: One is time-based phased buying, where you buy at regular intervals. The other is position-based phased buying, where you buy when the price drops to a certain level. Based on the trends of the past 20 years, the average time from the high to the low in a weekly correction (excluding monthly corrections) is 10 weeks. Therefore, time-based phased buying can be divided into three phases, buying every three weeks from the high, with longer intervals between the first and second purchases. Position-based phased buying can also be divided into three phases, buying one batch when the price drops 3% from the high. If the price drops by a maximum of 10%, the entire bottom-fishing plan can be achieved. The probability of success for these two plans is different. Time-based plans are generally successful unless it's just a daily correction that quickly rebounds to a new high. Even then, it's not a loss, as you've at least captured a daily correction opportunity to increase your position. However, position-based phased buying plans are not guaranteed to succeed. Many weekly corrections in the US stock market have been lengthy but have not reached a magnitude of 10%. If the primary goal of a weekly-level correction is to "complete the bottom-fishing," then a phased bottom-fishing plan should be prioritized. Even if the price drop hasn't reached its target, once the correction period is complete, the phased bottom-fishing plan should be executed. Now let's look at a bottom-fishing plan targeting a monthly-level correction. The average time to reach the bottom is 6.5 months, but this varies greatly. Therefore, one should accept the assumption that "it's highly unlikely to complete the bottom-fishing," and only buy as much as possible. Position sizing doesn't need to be even; instead, it should be higher at the beginning and lower at the end, with the three batches representing 1/2, 1/3, and 1/6 of the total plan, respectively. The time plan can be phased as: the first month, the third month, and the sixth month. The price target can be phased as: a 3% drop, an 8% drop, and a 15% drop. Thus, often, if you target a "monthly-level" correction, you might end up completing a weekly-level correction bottom-fishing plan, but the volume might not reach the target.Therefore, I initially recommended focusing on weekly chart adjustments as much as possible. Buying the dip in US stocks can be summarized as three dos and three don'ts: 1. Plan in batches; avoid random decisions and impulsive trading during trading hours. 2. Prioritize "buying enough," with "buying cheap" as a secondary strategy. 3. Prioritize "buying in batches by time," with "buying in batches by price level" as a secondary strategy. Buying the dip in US stocks is a very mechanical plan, and the long-term upward trend and relatively low volatility of US stocks are prerequisites for this plan. However, the stock market is ultimately a game of human nature, and economic operations themselves are unpredictable; black swan events can happen at any time, and are inevitable. What should you do if the adjustment time or depth exceeds the plan? What should you do if a black swan event occurs? 03, Black Swan Events The above adjustments are divided into monthly and weekly charts. The advantage is that the standards are relatively clear, but even among monthly-level adjustments, there are significant differences. The 2008 and 2020 adjustments were actually economic crises, not stock market adjustments. Therefore, market corrections can be categorized into three types based on their causes: 1. Natural corrections caused by excessive cumulative gains, but with generally positive macroeconomic fundamentals—this applies to most daily and weekly corrections. 2. Corrections caused by overvaluation coupled with economic recession or a bearish interest rate policy—this applies to a few weekly corrections and most monthly corrections. 3. Economic crises or major recessions caused by systemic risks—this applies to a few monthly corrections or long-term bear markets. In the past 20 years, the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis and the 2020 public health crisis both fall into the third category. The former saw a 58% drop in just over a year, and the latter a 35% drop in two months. Therefore, the third scenario exceeds our bottom-fishing plan and requires separate analysis. However, crises and corrections are initially indistinguishable. When the US stock market first began to decline in 2007, the market perceived it as an economic recession. After the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates, the stock market rebounded, and by early 2008, investors had already begun large-scale bottom-fishing. Therefore, during the bottom-fishing process, it's crucial to continuously observe whether anything that didn't occur in the early stages of the decline has happened, or whether the initial factors contributing to the decline have worsened. Take recent deep market declines as examples: A standard bear market like the one in 2022, with a 27% drop in a year, is actually the easiest to identify. It's driven by standard macroeconomic logic; everyone is discussing interest rate hikes, all prices are soaring, and every month there's data showing that this month is worse than last month. Bottom-fishing might result in losses at the initial confirmation, but the consequences will become clear later. This is a protracted battle, requiring a longer bottom-fishing period. A sudden, unprecedented plunge like the 36% drop in a month during the 2020 public health crisis is caused by a black swan event, not a non-economic factor. While it causes short-term panic, the decline is over eventually, and in this case, one can only endure it. The most difficult scenario is the 58% drop during the 2008 financial crisis. This is actually a combination of the two scenarios mentioned above. In a normal recession, a crisis event triggers a deep bear market, which is unpredictable; one can only respond. Going back further, the dot-com bubble burst in 2000 was a rare example of a crash caused by overvaluation, which in turn dragged down the economy. However, valuation levels at that time were indeed far higher than they are now. It was a predictable "gray rhino" event, but nobody wanted to be the first to "get off the train." Considering the similarities between these US stock market declines, you'll find that the most important thing is not to predict a US stock market decline in advance, but to face reality and respond after it happens. The sky won't fall. Of course, not making predictions and taking timely and correct actions after they occur requires you to pay attention to the market. You can't just allocate assets without managing them like you would with wealth management. You still need to assess whether the decline could potentially turn into a crisis after it reaches a certain stage. One of the most important functions of continuously tracking the market is that a person typically only experiences investment losses two or three times in their lifetime. Avoiding each one...
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Elon Musk
04-03 16:22
1950s Sweetheart & Polka Dot Tease❤️ Grok Imagine
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Cointelegraph
04-03 11:40
Latest news from the US: US household stock investments have reached a record 25.63% of total net worth, surpassing the peak during the dot-com bubble. According to the Kobeissi Letter, this means any significant market correction could severely impact consumer spending.
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Abu Talks Crypto
04-03 04:37
#sol #bsc On-Chain Hot Topics Narrative 4.2 1. #Fufeng The Joyful Moments of a Panda's Cute Daily Life $460K CA:0xcd995f5138fe9376a0e8a357c98c2cb046634444 2. #Community A Post-Apocalyptic Human Community Seeks Connection $340K CA:771oWnZyoVXW285EeusgicQ7DazFUN2hraGjynhupump 3. #durr The Popularity of Yellow Smiley Faces with Tongue Out in Mockery on the Internet $170K CA:5ePB8Z3tgxwNc1CwCa6BrvpLk1JWbuDEr1svNeP9pump 4. #TWEMP Imitating the Political Farce in the "Mission Accomplished" Incident $150K CA:5uEF5oyHb9CHuUJDwGtHHa4U4YHEEHFsuCjJz1A3pump 5. #MOON A space adventure narrative fueled by crypto enthusiasts' fervent pursuit of memes. $450K CA:6KByfCna35oaFJ6gXAM8XmX7YxCnRqRvYqczcU2Apump 6. #bunbun A cute cartoon bunny providing humor and amusement in meme culture. $190K CA:CE2Mfjg46daZVQHmc3iVLnVDFKQyQe5zwLB9Zmrppump 7. #ROCKET Humanity's fervent pursuit of interstellar travel. $750K CA:4YiLHDR4B4pE4R5GUMA8HG8YunyeLwcobtEtvwMupump 8. #DOT A fun cryptocurrency experiment with rapid launches $150K CA:3GJ5N2p9ZHgd4eDBBhAw4tLigyjmYY4JBex3oK5Dycuv 🌻BSC Trading Bot Summary 1. gmgn Internationally ranked #1 2. debot AI market analysis, catching the biggest winners across the network 3. OKX Wallet: 20% off transaction fees Invitation Code: SOL123 4. Binance Wallet: 30% off transaction fees Invitation Code: K95JFJUX 5. pepe A veteran bot My Channel
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Chong Gou Xiaobawang
04-01 23:57
As one of the leading cryptocurrency companies, we place great importance on innovation. Innovation brings change—sometimes even unpleasant change. In this rapidly changing world, it is crucial for the Pump Dotfun brand not only to remain closely connected to our culture, but also to continuously shape it. Recently, we realized that the "Pump Dotfun" brand no longer aligned with our brand philosophy, our users, or the culture that shaped it. Today, we are proud to announce the start of a new chapter, rebranding as "dot": a brand that no longer contains "pump" or "fun"—a brand that stays true to itself. Giving up "pump" and "fun" was not an easy decision, but it was essential if we wanted to remain closely connected to our culture. The reasons for this decision are as follows: 1) The token price is no longer "skyrocketing" as it used to be. 2) The ecosystem is no longer as "fun" as it used to be. We sincerely thank every user who has helped shape the "skyrocketing" brand into what it is today; we also thank those who will join us in writing the next chapter, as we continue to develop into the leading cryptocurrency ecosystem on the internet. The entire dot team expresses its gratitude.
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Fangyuan🧲
04-01 22:51
Pumpfun has changed its name to DOT. Unsurprisingly, it will be subject to further traffic diversion.
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Crypto.com
04-01 19:08
🎉 Airdrop Arena's New Event is Now Live! 💰 $250,000 Worth of $DOT Rewards 🎟️ Simply Allocate $CRO to Participate 💯 Purchase and transfer at least 1,500 CRO to Airdrop Arena to earn up to 120% bonus points 📅 April 1st to May 1st, 2026 🌎 Not available in all regions Register for the App Now 👉 The more $CRO you allocate, the higher your potential rewards 💸 Terms and conditions apply. Details 👉
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Alex Svanevik 🐧
04-01 01:05
Alpha Radar — Build a 24/7 multi-chain smart currency scanner on a VPS using #NansenCLI 📡 Get ready for the next dot-com bubble. The moment smart currencies start accumulating → Detect → Enter. Integrate 5 Nansen CLI endpoints into a fully automated monitoring pipeline 👇 @nansen_ai #NansenCLI
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